The 30-Year Yield Warning Investors Should Watch
VRIC Media Aug 12, 2026
Summary
Chris Vermeulen warns the 30-year yield has stayed above 5% for roughly 45 days — a stretch last seen ahead of 2007's crash.
His yield-curve charts point toward roughly 8% on the 30-year and slightly above 8% on the 10-year.
He argues that if long yields reach those levels, bonds will be annihilated and broader markets risk a cascading crisis.
The 2007 parallel is offered as a warning pattern, not a prediction that history will repeat.
Chris Vermeulen's takeaways
- Top takeaway The guest argues that yield charts are pointing to dramatically higher pricing, which he believes could trigger a financial crisis affecting countries, companies, the stock market, and the housing market.
- He notes that the 30-year yield has been above 5% for roughly 45 days this year, a duration last seen in 2007 just before the major financial crash and reset, though he stops short of predicting a repeat.
- He observes that fear is creeping up and holding at elevated levels amid significant uncertainty in the markets.
- He points to interest rate charts signaling 8% on the 30-year and slightly above 8% on the 10-year as a potential trajectory.
- He warns that if those rates materialize, bonds would get absolutely annihilated and a financial crisis would unfold where investors would not trust anything.