David Hunter: Imminent Global Depression 'Bigger Than 2008', Big Reversal Coming For Gold
Palisades Gold Radio Oct 9, 2026 55:01
Summary
Hunter argues extreme bearish bond sentiment marks a major top in rates, with the 10-year Treasury back at 2007 levels.
He expects oil to roll over into the $60s, driving a downside inflation surprise as a struggling consumer weighs on growth.
He sees a 3-6 month melt-up first, with his S&P target at 10,000, before a 70-80% global bust he calls bigger than 2008.
Hunter predicts gold at $7,000 and silver at $200 within months, sharp corrections in the bust, then $20,000 gold by the early 2030s.
Miners are the cheapest sector, he says, as disciplined management, record earnings, and near-zero institutional ownership set up a re-rating.
Stijn Schmitz's takeaways
- Top takeaway The host frames Hunter's thesis as a sequence - an imminent equity top, then a deflationary global bust, then money printing that ends in an inflationary crack-up boom - and asks why policymakers would not print earlier to limit the drawdown.
- He raises the gold re-monetization debate, saying many analysts he speaks to expect a soft or hard gold reset, and asks whether miners are set up to outperform if gold rises faster than their cost inputs.
David Hunter's takeaways
- Top takeaway As of October 2026 Hunter is calling a final equity melt-up to his targets - S&P 10,000, Nasdaq 36,000, Dow 70,000, Russell 4,000 - topping within 3 to 6 months, followed by a global bust in which the S&P falls 70-80% to around 2,000, which he says would be the biggest bear market since 1929.
- He argues record bearish sentiment marks a major bottom in bonds and a 20-year top in rates, with the 10-year stalling near the 5.35% area last seen in 2007, and sees a good chance of no further Fed hikes.
- On metals he sees gold and silver bottoming now and running to $7,000 gold and $200 silver within 3 to 6 months, then correcting roughly 40-50% and 60-75% in the bust, before a next cycle takes gold to about $20,000 and silver to $1,000 in the early 2030s.
- He expects policymakers' aversion to repeating ZIRP and QE to make their response to the bust slow and reluctant, creating an air pocket, before roughly $50 trillion of global money printing drives about 25% inflation and a collapse by the early-to-mid 2030s.
- He calls mining stocks the cheapest sector, citing operating discipline and record earnings this cycle, and predicts institutional buying - somewhat within six months and far more next cycle - drives a steep, semiconductor-like run.